{UTF-8}
recorded cholera cases=
	heavily infected+mildly infected*0.25
	~	
	~		|

effect of prevention and sanitation on the indirect degree of infection= WITH LOOKUP \
		(
	MAX(condition of the sanitary infrastructure,level of prevention),
		([(0,0)-(1,1)],(0,1),(0.25,0.9),(0.5,0.5),(0.75,0.1),(1,0) ))
	~	
	~		|

level of prevention= GAME (
	0.1)
	~	Dmnl
	~	([(0,0)-(4000,10)],(0,0.1),(130,0.1),(186,0.3),(206,0.5),(365,0.8),(3650,0.\
		8) )
	|

fraction of infected=
	(recently infected population+mildly infected population+heavily infected population\
		)/(recently infected population
+mildly infected population+heavily infected population+susceptible population+recovered temporarily immune population\
		)
	~	Dmnl
	~		|

smoothed fraction of contaminated water=
	DELAY3I(effect of the fraction of infected on the fraction of contaminated water, 14\
		, 0.0004)
	~	
	~		|

indirect degree of infection=
	smoothed fraction of contaminated water*effect of prevention and sanitation on the indirect degree of infection\
		*connectedness of aquifers
	~	1/Day
	~		|

cumulative cholera cases= INTEG (
	recorded cholera cases,
		0)
	~	
	~		|

connectedness of aquifers=
	0.28
	~	
	~		|

cholera deaths=
	heavily infected population/average duration of illness*effect of the average state of health services on the fraction of cholera deaths
	~	person/Day
	~		|

cumulative cholera deaths= INTEG (
	cholera deaths,
		0)
	~	person
	~		|

effect of the fraction of infected on the fraction of contaminated water= WITH LOOKUP\
		 (
	fraction of infected,
		([(0,0)-(1,1)],(0,0),(0.125,0.5),(0.25,0.75),(0.5,0.9),(0.75,0.99),(1,1) ))
	~	
	~	([(0,0)-(1,1)],(0,0),(0.25,0.8),(0.5,0.95),(0.75,0.98),(1,1) )\!\!\!
	|

effect of the average health condition on the fraction of mildly infected of all infected\
		=
	0.95
	~	
	~		|

effect of the average state of health services on the fraction of cholera deaths= WITH LOOKUP\
		 (
	average state of health services,
		([(0,0)-(1,1)],(0,1),(0.25,0.5),(0.5,0.2),(0.75,0.05),(1,0) ))
	~	
	~		|

recently infected population= INTEG (
	cholera infections-mildly infected-heavily infected,
		0)
	~	
	~		|

average immunity period=
	6*365
	~	Day
	~		|

average incubation time=
	1
	~	Day
	~		|

average state of health services= GAME (
	0.15)
	~	
	~	([(0,0)-(4000,1)],(0,0.15),(130,0.15),(183,0.4),(206,0.7),(250,0.75),(300,0\
		.8),(3650,0.8) ) over time
	|

average duration of illness=
	10
	~	Day
	~		|

recovered from heavy infection=
	heavily infected population/average duration of illness*(1-effect of the average state of health services on the fraction of cholera deaths\
		)
	~	person/Day
	~		|

recovered temporarily immune population= INTEG (
	recovered from heavy infection+recovered from mild infection-recovered to susceptible by loss of immunity\
		,
		1.3228e+007-3e+006-1000-1000-50)
	~	person
	~		|

recovered to susceptible by loss of immunity=
	recovered temporarily immune population/average immunity period
	~	
	~		|

cholera infections=
	susceptible population*indirect degree of infection
	~	person/Day
	~		|

mildly infected population= INTEG (
	+mildly infected-recovered from mild infection,
		0)
	~	person
	~		|

recovered from mild infection=
	mildly infected population/average duration of illness
	~	person/Day
	~		|

condition of the sanitary infrastructure= GAME (
	0.5)
	~	Dmnl
	~	([(0,0)-(4000,1)],(0,0.5),(183,0.55),(365,0.6),(1825,0.85),(3650,0.9) ) \
		over time
	|

mildly infected=
	recently infected population/average incubation time*effect of the average health condition on the fraction of mildly infected of all infected
	~	person/Day
	~		|

heavily infected=
	recently infected population/average incubation time*(1-effect of the average health condition on the fraction of mildly infected of all infected\
		)
	~	
	~		|

heavily infected population= INTEG (
	+heavily infected-cholera deaths-recovered from heavy infection,
		0)
	~	person
	~		|

susceptible population= INTEG (
	recovered to susceptible by loss of immunity-cholera infections,
		3e+006)
	~	
	~		|

********************************************************
	.Control
********************************************************~
		Simulation Control Parameters
	|

FINAL TIME  = 3650
	~	Day
	~	The final time for the simulation.
	|

INITIAL TIME  = 0
	~	Day
	~	The initial time for the simulation.
	|

SAVEPER  = 
        TIME STEP
	~	Day
	~	The frequency with which output is stored.
	|

TIME STEP  = 0.5
	~	Day
	~	The time step for the simulation.
	|

\\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names
V300  Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored
*View 1
$192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0
10,1,susceptible population,282,204,40,20,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
10,2,recently infected population,455,207,46,26,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
10,3,recovered temporarily immune population,854,206,40,31,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
10,4,heavily infected population,668,431,47,27,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
10,5,mildly infected population,667,210,45,29,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
10,6,cumulative cholera deaths,659,571,36,25,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
1,7,8,3,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(854,99)|
11,8,556,673,99,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,9,recovered to susceptible by loss of immunity,673,126,78,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,10,8,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(282,99)|
1,11,13,2,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(391,209)|
1,12,13,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(341,209)|
11,13,684,367,209,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,14,cholera infections,367,239,54,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,15,17,4,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(549,414)|
1,16,17,2,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(471,319)|
11,17,604,471,414,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,18,heavily infected,471,441,48,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,19,21,5,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(593,205)|
1,20,21,2,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(526,205)|
11,21,156,558,205,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,22,mildly infected,558,232,45,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,23,25,3,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(854,320)|
1,24,25,4,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(781,411)|
11,25,172,854,411,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,26,recovered from heavy infection,854,438,49,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,27,29,3,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(792,203)|
1,28,29,5,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(735,203)|
11,29,652,764,203,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,30,recovered from mild infection,764,232,49,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,31,33,6,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(655,531)|
1,32,33,4,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(655,481)|
11,33,668,655,511,8,6,33,3,0,0,4,0,0,0
10,34,cholera deaths,709,511,46,11,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
10,35,condition of the sanitary infrastructure,100,364,68,19,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12||0-128-0
1,36,3,9,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(793,133)|
1,37,1,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(356,180)|
10,38,indirect degree of infection,295,294,56,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
1,39,35,66,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(106,339)|
1,40,38,14,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(314,257)|
10,41,average state of health services,837,582,50,19,8,3,0,3,0,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||0-128-0
1,42,4,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(791,446)|
1,43,4,34,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(701,482)|
1,44,41,45,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(852,557)|
10,45,effect of the average state of health services on the fraction of cholera deaths,858,515,102,28,8,3,0,1,0,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||0-0-0
10,46,effect of the average health condition on the fraction of mildly infected of all infected,657,353,105,28,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12||255-0-0
1,47,45,26,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(865,466)|
1,48,45,34,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(804,546)|
1,49,46,22,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(605,289)|
1,50,46,17,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(530,394)|
1,51,5,29,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(736,190)|
10,52,fraction of infected,422,524,58,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
1,53,52,70,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(363,513)|
1,54,2,52,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(406,360)|
1,55,4,52,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(558,510)|
1,56,2,21,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(527,183)|
1,57,2,17,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(503,304)|
10,58,average incubation time,550,299,48,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
1,59,58,22,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(553,268)|
1,60,58,17,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(522,367)|
10,61,average immunity period,462,126,55,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
10,62,average duration of illness,785,319,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
1,63,62,25,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(820,366)|
1,64,62,34,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(746,464)|
1,65,62,30,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(776,282)|
10,66,effect of prevention and sanitation on the indirect degree of infection,120,293,77,28,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
1,67,66,38,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(211,293)|
10,68,connectedness of aquifers,196,212,47,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
1,69,68,38,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(239,248)|
10,70,effect of the fraction of infected on the fraction of contaminated water,295,455,81,28,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
10,71,cumulative cholera cases,95,119,41,24,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0
12,72,48,252,120,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,73,75,71,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(164,119)|
1,74,75,72,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(223,119)|
11,75,48,198,119,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,76,recorded cholera cases,198,146,55,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
10,77,mildly infected population,311,574,50,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128
1,78,77,52,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(357,558)|
10,79,level of prevention,94,230,57,11,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12||0-128-0
1,80,79,66,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(100,246)|
10,81,smoothed fraction of contaminated water,277,370,66,19,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12||255-0-0
1,82,70,81,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(279,414)|
1,83,81,38,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(279,326)|
10,84,susceptible population,411,572,40,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128
10,85,recovered temporarily immune population,536,569,75,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128
1,86,84,52,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(419,550)|
1,87,85,52,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(483,545)|
10,88,mildly infected,109,74,54,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128
10,89,heavily infected,230,75,57,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128
1,90,89,75,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(215,94)|
1,91,88,75,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(154,97)|
1,92,61,9,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(549,126)|
///---\\\
:GRAPH GRAPH
:TITLE GRAPH
:SCALE
:VAR fractie besmet water
:SCALE
:VAR smoothed fractie besmet water
:SCALE
:VAR effect fractie geinfecteerden op besmetting water
:L<%^E!@
1:ASHSandPrevInfraTEST.vdf
9:ASHSandPrevInfraTEST
15:0,0,0,5,0,0
19:100,0
27:0,
34:0,
4:Time
5:susceptible population
35:Date
36:YYYY-MM-DD
37:2000
38:1
39:1
40:2
41:0
42:0
24:0
25:3650
26:3650